Referee · John McCarthyIllegal Knee by Lindland Nelson Hamilton · 28-29Cecil Peoples · 27-29Marcos Rosales · 28-28Source · UFC Stats · round stats archived
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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Majority Decision · R3 · 5:00
Matt LindlandRound 3Phil Baroni
19 / 25Sig. strikes10 / 19
76%Accuracy53%
74 / 82Total strikes32 / 41
0Knockdowns0
2 / 4Takedowns0 / 0
0Sub. attempts0
3:34Control0:25
3.8Pace / min2.0
90%Control share10%
Matt Lindland
Targethead 63% · body 11% · leg 26%
Phasedistance 21% · clinch 21% · ground 58%
Phil Baroni
Targethead 100% · body 0% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 20% · clinch 80% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeMatt Lindland landed 19 significant strikes to 10.Control edgeMatt Lindland held 214s of control to 25s.Striking edgeMatt Lindland struck at 76% accuracy to 53%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace downMatt Lindland's significant-strike pace moved -27% from R2 to R3, 3.8 against 5.2 per minute.
Target shiftMatt Lindland's head share of landed strikes moved -14 pts, to 63% head with 11% body and 26% leg.
Phase shiftMatt Lindland's ground share of landed strikes moved -15 pts, to 58% on the ground against 21% at distance.
Grappling pressureMatt Lindland attempted 2 more takedowns than in R2, 4 against 2.
Defensive driftMatt Lindland absorbed significant strikes +43% faster than in R2, 2.0 against 1.4 per minute.
Pace upPhil Baroni's significant-strike pace moved +43% from R2 to R3, 2.0 against 1.4 per minute.
Target shiftPhil Baroni's head share of landed strikes moved +14 pts, to 100% head with 0% body and 0% leg.
Phase shiftPhil Baroni's ground share of landed strikes moved -43 pts, to 0% on the ground against 20% at distance.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Matt Lindland
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Phil Baroni
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
71Matt Lindland sig. strikes
32Phil Baroni sig. strikes
3rounds observed
-53%largest pace swing, R1 to R2 (Phil Baroni)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
