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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
KO/TKO · R2 · 4:24
Matt MitrioneRound 2Kevin Ferguson
39 / 43Sig. strikes2 / 10
91%Accuracy20%
58 / 62Total strikes2 / 10
0Knockdowns0
0 / 0Takedowns0 / 3
1Sub. attempts0
2:28Control0:33
8.9Pace / min0.5
82%Control share18%
Matt Mitrione
Targethead 67% · body 13% · leg 21%
Phasedistance 36% · clinch 8% · ground 56%
Kevin Ferguson
Targethead 50% · body 50% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 100% · clinch 0% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeMatt Mitrione landed 39 significant strikes to 2.Control edgeMatt Mitrione held 148s of control to 33s.Striking edgeMatt Mitrione struck at 91% accuracy to 20%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R1
Pace upMatt Mitrione's significant-strike pace moved +786% from R1 to R2, 8.9 against 1.0 per minute.
Accuracy shiftMatt Mitrione's significant-strike accuracy moved +52 pts, 91% against 38%.
Target shiftMatt Mitrione's head share of landed strikes moved +27 pts, to 67% head with 13% body and 21% leg.
Phase shiftMatt Mitrione's ground share of landed strikes moved +56 pts, to 56% on the ground against 36% at distance.
Control swingMatt Mitrione's control time moved +99s, 148s against 49s.
Pace downKevin Ferguson's significant-strike pace moved -24% from R1 to R2, 0.5 against 0.6 per minute.
Target shiftKevin Ferguson's head share of landed strikes moved -50 pts, to 50% head with 50% body and 0% leg.
Phase shiftKevin Ferguson's ground share of landed strikes moved -33 pts, to 0% on the ground against 100% at distance.
Control swingKevin Ferguson's control time moved -146s, 33s against 179s.
Defensive driftKevin Ferguson absorbed significant strikes +786% faster than in R1, 8.9 against 1.0 per minute.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Matt Mitrione
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Kevin Ferguson
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
44Matt Mitrione sig. strikes
5Kevin Ferguson sig. strikes
2rounds observed
+786%largest pace swing, R1 to R2 (Matt Mitrione)
R1
R2
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
