Referee · Steve MazzagattiNelson Hamilton · 27-30Cecil Peoples · 27-30Dalby Shirley · 27-30Source · UFC Stats · round stats archived
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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00
Matt SerraRound 3Jeff Curran
10 / 16Sig. strikes4 / 8
63%Accuracy50%
27 / 37Total strikes7 / 11
0Knockdowns0
2 / 4Takedowns0 / 1
0Sub. attempts1
4:19Control0:03
2.0Pace / min0.8
99%Control share1%
Matt Serra
Targethead 10% · body 50% · leg 40%
Phasedistance 0% · clinch 70% · ground 30%
Jeff Curran
Targethead 75% · body 25% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 75% · clinch 25% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeMatt Serra landed 10 significant strikes to 4.Control edgeMatt Serra held 259s of control to 3s.Striking edgeMatt Serra struck at 63% accuracy to 50%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace downMatt Serra's significant-strike pace moved -44% from R2 to R3, 2.0 against 3.6 per minute.
Accuracy shiftMatt Serra's significant-strike accuracy moved +18 pts, 63% against 45%.
Target shiftMatt Serra's head share of landed strikes moved -57 pts, to 10% head with 50% body and 40% leg.
Phase shiftMatt Serra's ground share of landed strikes moved -70 pts, to 30% on the ground against 0% at distance.
Defensive driftMatt Serra absorbed significant strikes +33% faster than in R2, 0.8 against 0.6 per minute.
Pace upJeff Curran's significant-strike pace moved +33% from R2 to R3, 0.8 against 0.6 per minute.
Accuracy shiftJeff Curran's significant-strike accuracy moved -10 pts, 50% against 60%.
Target shiftJeff Curran's head share of landed strikes moved +42 pts, to 75% head with 25% body and 0% leg.
Phase shiftJeff Curran's ground share of landed strikes moved -33 pts, to 0% on the ground against 75% at distance.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Matt Serra
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Jeff Curran
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
45Matt Serra sig. strikes
9Jeff Curran sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+50%largest pace swing, R1 to R2 (Jeff Curran)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
