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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00
Matthew LopezRound 3Mitch Gagnon
9 / 13Sig. strikes4 / 8
69%Accuracy50%
18 / 22Total strikes7 / 11
0Knockdowns0
2 / 3Takedowns0 / 0
0Sub. attempts0
3:59Control0:19
1.8Pace / min0.8
93%Control share7%
Matthew Lopez
Targethead 67% · body 33% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 56% · clinch 11% · ground 33%
Mitch Gagnon
Targethead 75% · body 0% · leg 25%
Phasedistance 50% · clinch 50% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeMatthew Lopez landed 9 significant strikes to 4.Control edgeMatthew Lopez held 239s of control to 19s.Striking edgeMatthew Lopez struck at 69% accuracy to 50%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Accuracy shiftMatthew Lopez's significant-strike accuracy moved +19 pts, 69% against 50%.
Target shiftMatthew Lopez's head share of landed strikes moved -23 pts, to 67% head with 33% body and 0% leg.
Phase shiftMatthew Lopez's ground share of landed strikes moved -47 pts, to 33% on the ground against 56% at distance.
Defensive driftMatthew Lopez absorbed significant strikes +33% faster than in R2, 0.8 against 0.6 per minute.
Pace upMitch Gagnon's significant-strike pace moved +33% from R2 to R3, 0.8 against 0.6 per minute.
Target shiftMitch Gagnon's head share of landed strikes moved +75 pts, to 75% head with 0% body and 25% leg.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Matthew Lopez
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Mitch Gagnon
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
30Matthew Lopez sig. strikes
31Mitch Gagnon sig. strikes
3rounds observed
-88%largest pace swing, R1 to R2 (Mitch Gagnon)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
