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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
KO/TKO · R3 · 3:47
Max HollowayRound 3Clay Collard
47 / 59Sig. strikes9 / 33
80%Accuracy27%
54 / 68Total strikes12 / 37
0Knockdowns0
0 / 0Takedowns0 / 3
0Sub. attempts0
2:14Control0:41
12.4Pace / min2.4
77%Control share23%
Max Holloway
Targethead 94% · body 6% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 13% · clinch 4% · ground 83%
Clay Collard
Targethead 33% · body 11% · leg 56%
Phasedistance 89% · clinch 0% · ground 11%
Statistical signals
Output edgeMax Holloway landed 47 significant strikes to 9.Control edgeMax Holloway held 134s of control to 41s.Striking edgeMax Holloway struck at 80% accuracy to 27%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace upMax Holloway's significant-strike pace moved +122% from R2 to R3, 12.4 against 5.6 per minute.
Accuracy shiftMax Holloway's significant-strike accuracy moved +27 pts, 80% against 53%.
Target shiftMax Holloway's head share of landed strikes moved +26 pts, to 94% head with 6% body and 0% leg.
Phase shiftMax Holloway's ground share of landed strikes moved +79 pts, to 83% on the ground against 13% at distance.
Control swingMax Holloway's control time moved +118s, 134s against 16s.
Pace downClay Collard's significant-strike pace moved -30% from R2 to R3, 2.4 against 3.4 per minute.
Target shiftClay Collard's head share of landed strikes moved -14 pts, to 33% head with 11% body and 56% leg.
Defensive driftClay Collard absorbed significant strikes +122% faster than in R2, 12.4 against 5.6 per minute.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Max Holloway
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Clay Collard
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
124Max Holloway sig. strikes
70Clay Collard sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+122%largest pace swing, R2 to R3 (Max Holloway)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
