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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00
Mike van ArsdaleRound 3John Marsh
14 / 22Sig. strikes8 / 15
64%Accuracy53%
43 / 57Total strikes16 / 23
0Knockdowns1
0 / 0Takedowns0 / 0
0Sub. attempts0
3:09Control1:01
2.8Pace / min1.6
76%Control share24%
Mike van Arsdale
Targethead 64% · body 36% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 0% · clinch 0% · ground 100%
John Marsh
Targethead 38% · body 50% · leg 13%
Phasedistance 0% · clinch 63% · ground 38%
Statistical signals
Output edgeMike van Arsdale landed 14 significant strikes to 8.Control edgeMike van Arsdale held 189s of control to 61s.Striking edgeMike van Arsdale struck at 64% accuracy to 53%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace upMike van Arsdale's significant-strike pace moved +367% from R2 to R3, 2.8 against 0.6 per minute.
Accuracy shiftMike van Arsdale's significant-strike accuracy moved +45 pts, 64% against 19%.
Phase shiftMike van Arsdale's ground share of landed strikes moved +100 pts, to 100% on the ground against 0% at distance.
Control swingMike van Arsdale's control time moved +154s, 189s against 35s.
Target shiftJohn Marsh's head share of landed strikes moved -25 pts, to 38% head with 50% body and 13% leg.
Phase shiftJohn Marsh's ground share of landed strikes moved +25 pts, to 38% on the ground against 0% at distance.
Defensive driftJohn Marsh absorbed significant strikes +367% faster than in R2, 2.8 against 0.6 per minute.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Mike van Arsdale
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
John Marsh
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
34Mike van Arsdale sig. strikes
18John Marsh sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+367%largest pace swing, R2 to R3 (Mike van Arsdale)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
