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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Submission · R2 · 3:06
Nate DiazRound 2Kurt Pellegrino
1 / 7Sig. strikes2 / 4
14%Accuracy50%
11 / 17Total strikes5 / 8
0Knockdowns0
1 / 1Takedowns2 / 2
1Sub. attempts0
0:06Control2:17
0.3Pace / min0.6
4%Control share96%
Nate Diaz
Targethead 0% · body 100% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 0% · clinch 0% · ground 100%
Kurt Pellegrino
Targethead 50% · body 50% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 0% · clinch 0% · ground 100%
Statistical signals
Output edgeKurt Pellegrino landed 2 significant strikes to 1.Control edgeKurt Pellegrino held 137s of control to 6s.Striking edgeKurt Pellegrino struck at 50% accuracy to 14%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R1
Pace downNate Diaz's significant-strike pace moved -68% from R1 to R2, 0.3 against 1.0 per minute.
Accuracy shiftNate Diaz's significant-strike accuracy moved -36 pts, 14% against 50%.
Phase shiftNate Diaz's ground share of landed strikes moved +100 pts, to 100% on the ground against 0% at distance.
Control swingNate Diaz's control time moved -70s, 6s against 76s.
Pace downKurt Pellegrino's significant-strike pace moved -82% from R1 to R2, 0.6 against 3.6 per minute.
Accuracy shiftKurt Pellegrino's significant-strike accuracy moved -10 pts, 50% against 60%.
Target shiftKurt Pellegrino's head share of landed strikes moved -50 pts, to 50% head with 50% body and 0% leg.
Control swingKurt Pellegrino's control time moved -69s, 137s against 206s.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Nate Diaz
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Kurt Pellegrino
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
6Nate Diaz sig. strikes
20Kurt Pellegrino sig. strikes
2rounds observed
-82%largest pace swing, R1 to R2 (Kurt Pellegrino)
R1
R2
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
