The market provider is not connected in this environment. No prices are estimated in its absence.
Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00
Nik LentzRound 3Rafaello Oliveira
24 / 40Sig. strikes6 / 23
60%Accuracy26%
53 / 73Total strikes24 / 50
0Knockdowns0
1 / 1Takedowns1 / 1
1Sub. attempts0
2:31Control1:08
4.8Pace / min1.2
69%Control share31%
Nik Lentz
Targethead 58% · body 33% · leg 8%
Phasedistance 33% · clinch 4% · ground 63%
Rafaello Oliveira
Targethead 100% · body 0% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 83% · clinch 0% · ground 17%
Statistical signals
Output edgeNik Lentz landed 24 significant strikes to 6.Control edgeNik Lentz held 151s of control to 68s.Striking edgeNik Lentz struck at 60% accuracy to 26%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Accuracy shiftNik Lentz's significant-strike accuracy moved +17 pts, 60% against 43%.
Target shiftNik Lentz's head share of landed strikes moved +17 pts, to 58% head with 33% body and 8% leg.
Phase shiftNik Lentz's ground share of landed strikes moved +53 pts, to 63% on the ground against 33% at distance.
Control swingNik Lentz's control time moved +135s, 151s against 16s.
Pace downRafaello Oliveira's significant-strike pace moved -40% from R2 to R3, 1.2 against 2.0 per minute.
Target shiftRafaello Oliveira's head share of landed strikes moved +20 pts, to 100% head with 0% body and 0% leg.
Phase shiftRafaello Oliveira's ground share of landed strikes moved +17 pts, to 17% on the ground against 83% at distance.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Nik Lentz
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Rafaello Oliveira
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
67Nik Lentz sig. strikes
29Rafaello Oliveira sig. strikes
3rounds observed
-40%largest pace swing, R2 to R3 (Rafaello Oliveira)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
