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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Submission · R3 · 4:59
Paul CraigRound 3Magomed Ankalaev
1 / 10Sig. strikes26 / 40
10%Accuracy65%
1 / 10Total strikes42 / 58
0Knockdowns0
0 / 3Takedowns0 / 0
1Sub. attempts0
0:00Control3:09
0.2Pace / min5.2
0%Control share100%
Paul Craig
Targethead 100% · body 0% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 100% · clinch 0% · ground 0%
Magomed Ankalaev
Targethead 65% · body 35% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 27% · clinch 0% · ground 73%
Statistical signals
Output edgeMagomed Ankalaev landed 26 significant strikes to 1.Control edgeMagomed Ankalaev held 189s of control to 0s.Striking edgeMagomed Ankalaev struck at 65% accuracy to 10%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace downPaul Craig's significant-strike pace moved -89% from R2 to R3, 0.2 against 1.8 per minute.
Accuracy shiftPaul Craig's significant-strike accuracy moved -35 pts, 10% against 45%.
Target shiftPaul Craig's head share of landed strikes moved +89 pts, to 100% head with 0% body and 0% leg.
Defensive driftPaul Craig absorbed significant strikes +74% faster than in R2, 5.2 against 3.0 per minute.
Pace upMagomed Ankalaev's significant-strike pace moved +74% from R2 to R3, 5.2 against 3.0 per minute.
Phase shiftMagomed Ankalaev's ground share of landed strikes moved +33 pts, to 73% on the ground against 27% at distance.
Control swingMagomed Ankalaev's control time moved +61s, 189s against 128s.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Paul Craig
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Magomed Ankalaev
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
18Paul Craig sig. strikes
59Magomed Ankalaev sig. strikes
3rounds observed
-89%largest pace swing, R2 to R3 (Paul Craig)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
