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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
KO/TKO · R2 · 3:36
Paul CraigRound 2Mauricio Rua
21 / 33Sig. strikes4 / 13
64%Accuracy31%
33 / 49Total strikes11 / 20
0Knockdowns0
2 / 5Takedowns0 / 0
0Sub. attempts0
2:01Control0:00
5.8Pace / min1.1
100%Control share0%
Paul Craig
Targethead 67% · body 14% · leg 19%
Phasedistance 52% · clinch 5% · ground 43%
Mauricio Rua
Targethead 75% · body 25% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 100% · clinch 0% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgePaul Craig landed 21 significant strikes to 4.Control edgePaul Craig held 121s of control to 0s.Striking edgePaul Craig struck at 64% accuracy to 31%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R1
Pace upPaul Craig's significant-strike pace moved +265% from R1 to R2, 5.8 against 1.6 per minute.
Accuracy shiftPaul Craig's significant-strike accuracy moved +30 pts, 64% against 33%.
Target shiftPaul Craig's head share of landed strikes moved +29 pts, to 67% head with 14% body and 19% leg.
Phase shiftPaul Craig's ground share of landed strikes moved +43 pts, to 43% on the ground against 52% at distance.
Grappling pressurePaul Craig attempted 2 more takedowns than in R1, 5 against 3.
Target shiftMauricio Rua's head share of landed strikes moved +25 pts, to 75% head with 25% body and 0% leg.
Phase shiftMauricio Rua's ground share of landed strikes moved -17 pts, to 0% on the ground against 100% at distance.
Control swingMauricio Rua's control time moved -104s, 0s against 104s.
Defensive driftMauricio Rua absorbed significant strikes +265% faster than in R1, 5.8 against 1.6 per minute.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Paul Craig
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Mauricio Rua
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
29Paul Craig sig. strikes
10Mauricio Rua sig. strikes
2rounds observed
+265%largest pace swing, R1 to R2 (Paul Craig)
R1
R2
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
