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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Submission · R2 · 3:41
Paul KellyRound 2Matt Veach
23 / 39Sig. strikes1 / 3
59%Accuracy33%
58 / 80Total strikes2 / 4
0Knockdowns0
0 / 0Takedowns0 / 0
1Sub. attempts0
2:40Control0:40
6.2Pace / min0.3
80%Control share20%
Paul Kelly
Targethead 96% · body 4% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 13% · clinch 4% · ground 83%
Matt Veach
Targethead 100% · body 0% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 100% · clinch 0% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgePaul Kelly landed 23 significant strikes to 1.Control edgePaul Kelly held 160s of control to 40s.Striking edgePaul Kelly struck at 59% accuracy to 33%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R1
Pace upPaul Kelly's significant-strike pace moved +30% from R1 to R2, 6.2 against 4.8 per minute.
Accuracy shiftPaul Kelly's significant-strike accuracy moved -12 pts, 59% against 71%.
Target shiftPaul Kelly's head share of landed strikes moved +16 pts, to 96% head with 4% body and 0% leg.
Pace downMatt Veach's significant-strike pace moved -55% from R1 to R2, 0.3 against 0.6 per minute.
Accuracy shiftMatt Veach's significant-strike accuracy moved -17 pts, 33% against 50%.
Phase shiftMatt Veach's ground share of landed strikes moved -67 pts, to 0% on the ground against 100% at distance.
Control swingMatt Veach's control time moved -66s, 40s against 106s.
Defensive driftMatt Veach absorbed significant strikes +30% faster than in R1, 6.2 against 4.8 per minute.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Paul Kelly
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Matt Veach
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
47Paul Kelly sig. strikes
4Matt Veach sig. strikes
2rounds observed
-55%largest pace swing, R1 to R2 (Matt Veach)
R1
R2
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
