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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00
Rafael EstevamRound 3Charles Johnson
9 / 18Sig. strikes54 / 80
50%Accuracy68%
10 / 20Total strikes62 / 88
0Knockdowns0
0 / 11Takedowns0 / 0
0Sub. attempts0
1:39Control0:16
1.8Pace / min10.8
86%Control share14%
Rafael Estevam
Targethead 67% · body 33% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 67% · clinch 33% · ground 0%
Charles Johnson
Targethead 56% · body 43% · leg 2%
Phasedistance 81% · clinch 19% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeCharles Johnson landed 54 significant strikes to 9.Control edgeRafael Estevam held 99s of control to 16s.Striking edgeCharles Johnson struck at 68% accuracy to 50%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace upRafael Estevam's significant-strike pace moved +800% from R2 to R3, 1.8 against 0.2 per minute.
Accuracy shiftRafael Estevam's significant-strike accuracy moved +36 pts, 50% against 14%.
Target shiftRafael Estevam's head share of landed strikes moved -33 pts, to 67% head with 33% body and 0% leg.
Phase shiftRafael Estevam's ground share of landed strikes moved -100 pts, to 0% on the ground against 67% at distance.
Grappling pressureRafael Estevam attempted 4 more takedowns than in R2, 11 against 7.
Control swingRafael Estevam's control time moved -136s, 99s against 235s.
Defensive driftRafael Estevam absorbed significant strikes +391% faster than in R2, 10.8 against 2.2 per minute.
Pace upCharles Johnson's significant-strike pace moved +391% from R2 to R3, 10.8 against 2.2 per minute.
Accuracy shiftCharles Johnson's significant-strike accuracy moved +12 pts, 68% against 55%.
Target shiftCharles Johnson's head share of landed strikes moved -17 pts, to 56% head with 43% body and 2% leg.
Defensive driftCharles Johnson absorbed significant strikes +800% faster than in R2, 1.8 against 0.2 per minute.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Rafael Estevam
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Charles Johnson
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
18Rafael Estevam sig. strikes
72Charles Johnson sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+800%largest pace swing, R2 to R3 (Rafael Estevam)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
