Home Events UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry Rafael Tobias vs Lucas Fernando Rafael Tobias vs Lucas Fernando · UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry Light Heavyweight · 3 rounds · Early Prelims
Final Photo:
ESPN · identity-verified display portrait
Photo:
ESPN · identity-verified display portrait
UFC CageSide IQ · All Access exclusive The Fight Blueprint before, the verified pulse during, and the Verdict after — did PBE's locked call hold up? Open CageSide IQ → ADVERTISEMENT · PARTNER LINK
Prediction markets on Polymarket Explore UFC and other prediction markets on Polymarket.
PropBetEdge may earn compensation from qualifying Polymarket activity. Compensation does not influence PropBetEdge analysis, picks, rankings or market comparisons. Availability and trading eligibility vary by location. Trading involves risk.
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry
Saturday, August 15, 2026 · Xfinity Mobile Arena · Philadelphia · PA
Full card → Result Lucas Fernando def. Rafael Tobias Method KO/TKO (Knee) Round · time Round 3 · 1:10 · 3 Rnd (5-5-5) Referee Keith Peterson Sig. strikes Rafael Tobias 13/56 · Lucas Fernando 69/115 · PropSports · round totals Total strikes Rafael Tobias 14/58 · Lucas Fernando 69/115 Scorecards None — the fight ended by KO/TKO Analysis Round-by-round (3 rounds) Result Lucas Fernando def. Rafael Tobias
KO/TKO (Knee) · Round 3 · 1:10 · 3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Official scorecards —
No official scorecard exists for this fight The fight ended by KO/TKO (Knee) in round 3 at 1:10, so it never went to the judges and no scorecard was rendered. Nothing is missing: an official scorecard only exists where a bout goes the distance or is stopped and scored. PropBetEdge does not estimate, reconstruct or infer scores for a finish.
Result source · PropSports results ↗
Round-by-Round Analysis Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
KO/TKO · R3 · 1:10
R1 R2 R3
Rafael Tobias Round 3 Lucas Fernando
0 / 8 Sig. strikes 14 / 23
0% Accuracy 61%
0 / 8 Total strikes 14 / 23
0 Knockdowns 1
0 / 0 Takedowns 0 / 0
0 Sub. attempts 0
0:00 Control 0:02
0.0 Pace / min 12.0
0% Control share 100%
Rafael Tobias
Target No strikes landed this round
Phase No strikes landed this round
Lucas Fernando
Target head 64% · body 14% · leg 21%
Phase distance 86% · clinch 0% · ground 14%
UFC Pro
Unlock Round Intelligence
Round-over-round signals, statistical edges and this performance measured against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Round statistics above stay free.
Fight summary
13 Rafael Tobias sig. strikes
69 Lucas Fernando sig. strikes
3 rounds observed
+114% largest pace swing, R2 to R3 (Lucas Fernando)
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
Fight stats 3 rounds · PropSports round stats 13 / 56 Sig. strikes 69 / 115
23% Accuracy 60%
14 / 58 Total strikes 69 / 115
0 Knockdowns 2
1 / 1 Takedowns 0 / 0
0 Sub attempts 0
0:55 Control 0:09
5 Head 37
5 Body 18
3 Leg 14
Rafael Tobias Lucas Fernando
Round Fighter KD Sig. str. Total TD Sub Ctrl Head Body Leg
Tale of the tape 14-3-0 Record 14-3-0
23 Age 29
6'2" Height 6'3"
74.5" Reach 80.5"
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
2.17 Sig. str./min 3.71
2.00 TD / 15 min 1.72
Rafael Tobias 1-1 in archive
0 KO/TKO wins
1 Sub wins
100% Finish rate
