Rafael Tobias vs Lucas Fernando — UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry Result, Stats & Scorecards

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UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry
Rafael Tobias vs Lucas Fernando

Light Heavyweight · 3 rounds · Early Prelims

Final

UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry

Saturday, August 15, 2026 · Xfinity Mobile Arena · Philadelphia · PA

Full card →

Result

Lucas Fernando def. Rafael Tobias

KO/TKO (Knee) · Round 3 · 1:10 · 3 Rnd (5-5-5)

Referee · Keith PetersonSource · ESPN · round stats archived

Fight stats 3 rounds · UFC Stats

13 / 56Sig. strikes69 / 115

23%Accuracy60%

14 / 58Total strikes69 / 115

0Knockdowns2

1 / 1Takedowns0 / 0

0Sub attempts0

0:55Control0:09

5Head37

5Body18

3Leg14

Rafael TobiasLucas Fernando

Round	Fighter	KD	Sig. str.	Total	TD	Ctrl	Head	Body	Leg
R1	Rafael Tobias	0	7/25	8/27	1/1	0:50	4	3	0
	Lucas Fernando	0	27/47	27/47	0/0	0:00	12	11	4
R2	Rafael Tobias	0	6/23	6/23	0/0	0:05	1	2	3
	Lucas Fernando	1	28/45	28/45	0/0	0:07	16	5	7
R3	Rafael Tobias	0	0/8	0/8	0/0	0:00	0	0	0
	Lucas Fernando	1	14/23	14/23	0/0	0:02	9	2	3

Tale of the tape

14-3-0Record14-3-0

23Age29

6'2"Height6'3"

74.5"Reach80.5"

OrthodoxStanceOrthodox

2.17Sig. str./min3.71

2.00TD / 15 min1.72

Rafael Tobias1-1 in archive

0KO/TKO wins

1Sub wins

100%Finish rate

Last 2

LDiyar NurgozhayU-DEC R3 · Mar 26 WJair de OliveiraSUB R1 · Sep 25

DNA matchup PropBetEdge derived · evidence, not a pickPBE derived

Rafael Tobias vs Orthodox opponents

—Record0 appearances · insufficient

—Finish rateno data

—KO/TKO rateno data

—Sig. diff / minno data

—TD landed / 15no data

Lucas Fernando vs Orthodox opponents

—Record0 appearances · insufficient

—Finish rateno data

—KO/TKO rateno data

—Sig. diff / minno data

—TD landed / 15no data

Paired profileRafael Tobias · left · Lucas Fernando · right

—insufficientSig. strikes landed / mininsufficient—

—insufficientSig. strikes absorbed / min—

Also on this card

Vicente Luque

24-13-1 · The Silent Assassin

8-4-0 · Mr. Vicious

Neil MagnyWIN

32-15-0 · The Haitian Sensation

Strongest supported observations

No observation clears the sample thresholds for this pairing yet. Nothing is inferred below threshold.

Counter-case and missing data

Lucas Fernando: no Fight DNA snapshot; side b is null in every comparison and no b-side insight is emitted.
Rafael Tobias vs orthodox opponents: 0 appearances, confidence insufficient; needs >= 3 appearances and confidence >= low. No stance insight emitted.
Lucas Fernando: no Fight DNA snapshot; no stance history vs orthodox opponents.
Rafael Tobias pace_retention_r3_vs_r1: confidence insufficient (0 bouts); needs >= 2 stat-covered bouts and confidence >= low. No pace insight emitted.
Head attack share: Rafael Tobias confidence insufficient (0 bouts); Lucas Fernando metric not stored. Both sides need confidence >= low; no target share mismatch insight emitted.
Body attack share: Rafael Tobias confidence insufficient (0 bouts); Lucas Fernando metric not stored. Both sides need confidence >= low; no target share mismatch insight emitted.
Leg attack share: Rafael Tobias confidence insufficient (0 bouts); Lucas Fernando metric not stored. Both sides need confidence >= low; no target share mismatch insight emitted.
Distance attack share: Rafael Tobias confidence insufficient (0 bouts); Lucas Fernando metric not stored. Both sides need confidence >= low; no phase share mismatch insight emitted.
Clinch attack share: Rafael Tobias confidence insufficient (0 bouts); Lucas Fernando metric not stored. Both sides need confidence >= low; no phase share mismatch insight emitted.
Ground attack share: Rafael Tobias confidence insufficient (0 bouts); Lucas Fernando metric not stored. Both sides need confidence >= low; no phase share mismatch insight emitted.
Takedown attempts / 15 min: Rafael Tobias confidence insufficient (0 bouts); Lucas Fernando metric not stored. Both sides need confidence >= low; no grappling mismatch insight emitted.
Takedown accuracy: Rafael Tobias confidence insufficient (0 bouts); Lucas Fernando metric not stored. Both sides need confidence >= low; no grappling mismatch insight emitted.
Control seconds / takedown: Rafael Tobias confidence insufficient (0 bouts); Lucas Fernando metric not stored. Both sides need confidence >= low; no grappling mismatch insight emitted.
Submission attempts / 15 min: Rafael Tobias confidence insufficient (0 bouts); Lucas Fernando metric not stored. Both sides need confidence >= low; no grappling mismatch insight emitted.
Rafael Tobias finish_rate: confidence insufficient (1 bout); needs confidence >= low (registry minimum 2 wins). No finish-profile insight emitted.