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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00
Rick StoryRound 3Thiago Alves
22 / 89Sig. strikes28 / 65
25%Accuracy43%
24 / 92Total strikes28 / 65
0Knockdowns0
0 / 5Takedowns0 / 1
0Sub. attempts0
1:15Control0:10
4.4Pace / min5.6
88%Control share12%
Rick Story
Targethead 73% · body 23% · leg 5%
Phasedistance 91% · clinch 9% · ground 0%
Thiago Alves
Targethead 89% · body 4% · leg 7%
Phasedistance 86% · clinch 14% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeThiago Alves landed 28 significant strikes to 22.Control edgeRick Story held 75s of control to 10s.Striking edgeThiago Alves struck at 43% accuracy to 25%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace upRick Story's significant-strike pace moved +120% from R2 to R3, 4.4 against 2.0 per minute.
Accuracy shiftRick Story's significant-strike accuracy moved -11 pts, 25% against 36%.
Target shiftRick Story's head share of landed strikes moved +33 pts, to 73% head with 23% body and 5% leg.
Control swingRick Story's control time moved -112s, 75s against 187s.
Defensive driftRick Story absorbed significant strikes +600% faster than in R2, 5.6 against 0.8 per minute.
Pace upThiago Alves's significant-strike pace moved +600% from R2 to R3, 5.6 against 0.8 per minute.
Accuracy shiftThiago Alves's significant-strike accuracy moved +22 pts, 43% against 21%.
Target shiftThiago Alves's head share of landed strikes moved +39 pts, to 89% head with 4% body and 7% leg.
Defensive driftThiago Alves absorbed significant strikes +120% faster than in R2, 4.4 against 2.0 per minute.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Rick Story
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Thiago Alves
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
62Rick Story sig. strikes
41Thiago Alves sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+600%largest pace swing, R2 to R3 (Thiago Alves)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
