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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Split Decision · R3 · 5:00
Ricky TurciosRound 3Kevin Natividad
29 / 49Sig. strikes15 / 33
59%Accuracy45%
69 / 92Total strikes18 / 38
0Knockdowns1
0 / 1Takedowns2 / 5
1Sub. attempts0
2:21Control1:10
5.8Pace / min3.0
67%Control share33%
Ricky Turcios
Targethead 100% · body 0% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 45% · clinch 3% · ground 52%
Kevin Natividad
Targethead 100% · body 0% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 67% · clinch 0% · ground 33%
Statistical signals
Output edgeRicky Turcios landed 29 significant strikes to 15.Control edgeRicky Turcios held 141s of control to 70s.Striking edgeRicky Turcios struck at 59% accuracy to 45%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace upRicky Turcios's significant-strike pace moved +32% from R2 to R3, 5.8 against 4.4 per minute.
Phase shiftRicky Turcios's ground share of landed strikes moved +15 pts, to 52% on the ground against 45% at distance.
Accuracy shiftKevin Natividad's significant-strike accuracy moved -13 pts, 45% against 59%.
Target shiftKevin Natividad's head share of landed strikes moved +18 pts, to 100% head with 0% body and 0% leg.
Control swingKevin Natividad's control time moved -70s, 70s against 140s.
Defensive driftKevin Natividad absorbed significant strikes +32% faster than in R2, 5.8 against 4.4 per minute.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Ricky Turcios
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Kevin Natividad
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
68Ricky Turcios sig. strikes
41Kevin Natividad sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+89%largest pace swing, R1 to R2 (Kevin Natividad)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
