The market provider is not connected in this environment. No prices are estimated in its absence.
Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00
Rory MacDonaldRound 3Demian Maia
29 / 83Sig. strikes11 / 46
35%Accuracy24%
29 / 83Total strikes16 / 52
0Knockdowns0
0 / 0Takedowns1 / 11
0Sub. attempts0
0:05Control1:09
5.8Pace / min2.2
7%Control share93%
Rory MacDonald
Targethead 83% · body 14% · leg 3%
Phasedistance 97% · clinch 0% · ground 3%
Demian Maia
Targethead 91% · body 0% · leg 9%
Phasedistance 100% · clinch 0% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeRory MacDonald landed 29 significant strikes to 11.Control edgeDemian Maia held 69s of control to 5s.Striking edgeRory MacDonald struck at 35% accuracy to 24%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace downRory MacDonald's significant-strike pace moved -28% from R2 to R3, 5.8 against 8.0 per minute.
Pace downDemian Maia's significant-strike pace moved -15% from R2 to R3, 2.2 against 2.6 per minute.
Accuracy shiftDemian Maia's significant-strike accuracy moved -12 pts, 24% against 36%.
Target shiftDemian Maia's head share of landed strikes moved +37 pts, to 91% head with 0% body and 9% leg.
Grappling pressureDemian Maia attempted 4 more takedowns than in R2, 11 against 7.
Control swingDemian Maia's control time moved +69s, 69s against 0s.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Rory MacDonald
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Demian Maia
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
75Rory MacDonald sig. strikes
51Demian Maia sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+567%largest pace swing, R1 to R2 (Rory MacDonald)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.