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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00
Ryan BaderRound 3Carmelo Marrero
9 / 23Sig. strikes3 / 20
39%Accuracy15%
22 / 37Total strikes8 / 25
0Knockdowns0
2 / 3Takedowns0 / 0
1Sub. attempts0
3:00Control0:00
1.8Pace / min0.6
100%Control share0%
Ryan Bader
Targethead 67% · body 11% · leg 22%
Phasedistance 44% · clinch 11% · ground 44%
Carmelo Marrero
Targethead 33% · body 0% · leg 67%
Phasedistance 100% · clinch 0% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeRyan Bader landed 9 significant strikes to 3.Control edgeRyan Bader held 180s of control to 0s.Striking edgeRyan Bader struck at 39% accuracy to 15%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Accuracy shiftRyan Bader's significant-strike accuracy moved -16 pts, 39% against 56%.
Phase shiftRyan Bader's ground share of landed strikes moved -26 pts, to 44% on the ground against 44% at distance.
Grappling pressureRyan Bader attempted 3 more takedowns than in R2, 3 against 0.
Accuracy shiftCarmelo Marrero's significant-strike accuracy moved -28 pts, 15% against 43%.
Target shiftCarmelo Marrero's head share of landed strikes moved -67 pts, to 33% head with 0% body and 67% leg.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Ryan Bader
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Carmelo Marrero
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
24Ryan Bader sig. strikes
9Carmelo Marrero sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+100%largest pace swing, R1 to R2 (Ryan Bader)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
