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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00
Ryan BaderRound 3Rafael Cavalcante
12 / 20Sig. strikes6 / 15
60%Accuracy40%
41 / 50Total strikes10 / 19
0Knockdowns0
1 / 5Takedowns0 / 0
0Sub. attempts0
3:32Control0:27
2.4Pace / min1.2
89%Control share11%
Ryan Bader
Targethead 25% · body 75% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 8% · clinch 0% · ground 92%
Rafael Cavalcante
Targethead 100% · body 0% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 50% · clinch 50% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeRyan Bader landed 12 significant strikes to 6.Control edgeRyan Bader held 212s of control to 27s.Striking edgeRyan Bader struck at 60% accuracy to 40%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace downRyan Bader's significant-strike pace moved -33% from R2 to R3, 2.4 against 3.6 per minute.
Accuracy shiftRyan Bader's significant-strike accuracy moved +11 pts, 60% against 49%.
Target shiftRyan Bader's head share of landed strikes moved -36 pts, to 25% head with 75% body and 0% leg.
Phase shiftRyan Bader's ground share of landed strikes moved +58 pts, to 92% on the ground against 8% at distance.
Control swingRyan Bader's control time moved +103s, 212s against 109s.
Defensive driftRyan Bader absorbed significant strikes +500% faster than in R2, 1.2 against 0.2 per minute.
Pace upRafael Cavalcante's significant-strike pace moved +500% from R2 to R3, 1.2 against 0.2 per minute.
Accuracy shiftRafael Cavalcante's significant-strike accuracy moved +32 pts, 40% against 8%.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Ryan Bader
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Rafael Cavalcante
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
53Ryan Bader sig. strikes
10Rafael Cavalcante sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+500%largest pace swing, R2 to R3 (Rafael Cavalcante)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
