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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00
Sage NorthcuttRound 3Thibault Gouti
29 / 52Sig. strikes5 / 18
56%Accuracy28%
61 / 84Total strikes6 / 19
0Knockdowns0
0 / 3Takedowns3 / 3
0Sub. attempts0
0:17Control2:17
5.8Pace / min1.0
11%Control share89%
Sage Northcutt
Targethead 41% · body 17% · leg 41%
Phasedistance 66% · clinch 14% · ground 21%
Thibault Gouti
Targethead 100% · body 0% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 100% · clinch 0% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeSage Northcutt landed 29 significant strikes to 5.Control edgeThibault Gouti held 137s of control to 17s.Striking edgeSage Northcutt struck at 56% accuracy to 28%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace upSage Northcutt's significant-strike pace moved +142% from R2 to R3, 5.8 against 2.4 per minute.
Accuracy shiftSage Northcutt's significant-strike accuracy moved +27 pts, 56% against 29%.
Pace downThibault Gouti's significant-strike pace moved -64% from R2 to R3, 1.0 against 2.8 per minute.
Accuracy shiftThibault Gouti's significant-strike accuracy moved -20 pts, 28% against 48%.
Target shiftThibault Gouti's head share of landed strikes moved +29 pts, to 100% head with 0% body and 0% leg.
Phase shiftThibault Gouti's ground share of landed strikes moved -21 pts, to 0% on the ground against 100% at distance.
Grappling pressureThibault Gouti attempted 2 more takedowns than in R2, 3 against 1.
Defensive driftThibault Gouti absorbed significant strikes +142% faster than in R2, 5.8 against 2.4 per minute.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Sage Northcutt
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Thibault Gouti
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
63Sage Northcutt sig. strikes
28Thibault Gouti sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+142%largest pace swing, R2 to R3 (Sage Northcutt)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
