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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Split Decision · R3 · 5:00
Said NurmagomedovRound 3Justin Scoggins
24 / 34Sig. strikes10 / 24
71%Accuracy42%
43 / 53Total strikes10 / 24
0Knockdowns0
1 / 5Takedowns0 / 0
0Sub. attempts0
1:42Control0:00
4.8Pace / min2.0
100%Control share0%
Said Nurmagomedov
Targethead 79% · body 4% · leg 17%
Phasedistance 67% · clinch 8% · ground 25%
Justin Scoggins
Targethead 30% · body 30% · leg 40%
Phasedistance 90% · clinch 10% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeSaid Nurmagomedov landed 24 significant strikes to 10.Control edgeSaid Nurmagomedov held 102s of control to 0s.Striking edgeSaid Nurmagomedov struck at 71% accuracy to 42%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace upSaid Nurmagomedov's significant-strike pace moved +20% from R2 to R3, 4.8 against 4.0 per minute.
Accuracy shiftSaid Nurmagomedov's significant-strike accuracy moved +24 pts, 71% against 47%.
Target shiftSaid Nurmagomedov's head share of landed strikes moved +24 pts, to 79% head with 4% body and 17% leg.
Phase shiftSaid Nurmagomedov's ground share of landed strikes moved +25 pts, to 25% on the ground against 67% at distance.
Grappling pressureSaid Nurmagomedov attempted 2 more takedowns than in R2, 5 against 3.
Control swingSaid Nurmagomedov's control time moved +102s, 102s against 0s.
Pace downJustin Scoggins's significant-strike pace moved -29% from R2 to R3, 2.0 against 2.8 per minute.
Target shiftJustin Scoggins's head share of landed strikes moved -49 pts, to 30% head with 30% body and 40% leg.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Said Nurmagomedov
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Justin Scoggins
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
65Said Nurmagomedov sig. strikes
32Justin Scoggins sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+75%largest pace swing, R1 to R2 (Justin Scoggins)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
