The market provider is not connected in this environment. No prices are estimated in its absence.
Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
KO/TKO · R3 · 3:42
Scott HoltzmanRound 3Alan Patrick
31 / 42Sig. strikes3 / 12
74%Accuracy25%
42 / 55Total strikes3 / 13
1Knockdowns0
0 / 0Takedowns0 / 0
0Sub. attempts0
2:07Control0:00
8.4Pace / min0.8
100%Control share0%
Scott Holtzman
Targethead 94% · body 3% · leg 3%
Phasedistance 16% · clinch 0% · ground 84%
Alan Patrick
Targethead 100% · body 0% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 100% · clinch 0% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeScott Holtzman landed 31 significant strikes to 3.Control edgeScott Holtzman held 127s of control to 0s.Striking edgeScott Holtzman struck at 74% accuracy to 25%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace upScott Holtzman's significant-strike pace moved +82% from R2 to R3, 8.4 against 4.6 per minute.
Target shiftScott Holtzman's head share of landed strikes moved +24 pts, to 94% head with 3% body and 3% leg.
Phase shiftScott Holtzman's ground share of landed strikes moved +45 pts, to 84% on the ground against 16% at distance.
Pace downAlan Patrick's significant-strike pace moved -63% from R2 to R3, 0.8 against 2.2 per minute.
Accuracy shiftAlan Patrick's significant-strike accuracy moved -19 pts, 25% against 44%.
Target shiftAlan Patrick's head share of landed strikes moved +27 pts, to 100% head with 0% body and 0% leg.
Defensive driftAlan Patrick absorbed significant strikes +82% faster than in R2, 8.4 against 4.6 per minute.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Scott Holtzman
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Alan Patrick
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
73Scott Holtzman sig. strikes
25Alan Patrick sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+82%largest pace swing, R2 to R3 (Scott Holtzman)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.