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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Draw · R3 · 5:00
Sergio MoraesRound 3Luan Chagas
7 / 11Sig. strikes5 / 13
64%Accuracy38%
15 / 20Total strikes15 / 24
0Knockdowns0
0 / 0Takedowns0 / 1
0Sub. attempts0
4:04Control0:13
1.4Pace / min1.0
95%Control share5%
Sergio Moraes
Targethead 71% · body 29% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 43% · clinch 0% · ground 57%
Luan Chagas
Targethead 40% · body 20% · leg 40%
Phasedistance 60% · clinch 0% · ground 40%
Statistical signals
Output edgeSergio Moraes landed 7 significant strikes to 5.Control edgeSergio Moraes held 244s of control to 13s.Striking edgeSergio Moraes struck at 64% accuracy to 38%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace downSergio Moraes's significant-strike pace moved -46% from R2 to R3, 1.4 against 2.6 per minute.
Accuracy shiftSergio Moraes's significant-strike accuracy moved +19 pts, 64% against 45%.
Target shiftSergio Moraes's head share of landed strikes moved -21 pts, to 71% head with 29% body and 0% leg.
Phase shiftSergio Moraes's ground share of landed strikes moved +42 pts, to 57% on the ground against 43% at distance.
Control swingSergio Moraes's control time moved +222s, 244s against 22s.
Pace downLuan Chagas's significant-strike pace moved -76% from R2 to R3, 1.0 against 4.2 per minute.
Phase shiftLuan Chagas's ground share of landed strikes moved +40 pts, to 40% on the ground against 60% at distance.
Control swingLuan Chagas's control time moved -63s, 13s against 76s.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Sergio Moraes
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Luan Chagas
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
28Sergio Moraes sig. strikes
46Luan Chagas sig. strikes
3rounds observed
-76%largest pace swing, R2 to R3 (Luan Chagas)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
