Referee · Chris TognoniAdalaide Byrd · 27-30Junichiro Kamijo · 27-30Mark Smith · 27-30Source · UFC Stats · round stats archived
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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00
Shamar BaileyRound 3Ryan McGillivray
7 / 15Sig. strikes9 / 34
47%Accuracy26%
22 / 33Total strikes9 / 34
0Knockdowns0
2 / 4Takedowns0 / 0
0Sub. attempts0
3:11Control0:00
1.4Pace / min1.8
100%Control share0%
Shamar Bailey
Targethead 57% · body 14% · leg 29%
Phasedistance 57% · clinch 14% · ground 29%
Ryan McGillivray
Targethead 89% · body 11% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 89% · clinch 0% · ground 11%
Statistical signals
Output edgeRyan McGillivray landed 9 significant strikes to 7.Control edgeShamar Bailey held 191s of control to 0s.Striking edgeShamar Bailey struck at 47% accuracy to 26%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace downShamar Bailey's significant-strike pace moved -30% from R2 to R3, 1.4 against 2.0 per minute.
Accuracy shiftShamar Bailey's significant-strike accuracy moved -20 pts, 47% against 67%.
Grappling pressureShamar Bailey attempted 2 more takedowns than in R2, 4 against 2.
Defensive driftShamar Bailey absorbed significant strikes +200% faster than in R2, 1.8 against 0.6 per minute.
Pace upRyan McGillivray's significant-strike pace moved +200% from R2 to R3, 1.8 against 0.6 per minute.
Target shiftRyan McGillivray's head share of landed strikes moved +22 pts, to 89% head with 11% body and 0% leg.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Shamar Bailey
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Ryan McGillivray
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
33Shamar Bailey sig. strikes
19Ryan McGillivray sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+200%largest pace swing, R2 to R3 (Ryan McGillivray)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
