Referee · Dan MiragliottaChris Lee · 27-28Jeff Mullen · 27-29Dave Tirelli · 28-28Source · UFC Stats · round stats archived
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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Majority Decision · R3 · 5:00
Stevie RayRound 3Joe Lauzon
77 / 127Sig. strikes15 / 30
61%Accuracy50%
94 / 152Total strikes19 / 34
0Knockdowns0
0 / 0Takedowns1 / 2
1Sub. attempts0
0:32Control1:49
15.4Pace / min3.0
23%Control share77%
Stevie Ray
Targethead 92% · body 8% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 56% · clinch 17% · ground 27%
Joe Lauzon
Targethead 87% · body 13% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 87% · clinch 0% · ground 13%
Statistical signals
Output edgeStevie Ray landed 77 significant strikes to 15.Control edgeJoe Lauzon held 109s of control to 32s.Striking edgeStevie Ray struck at 61% accuracy to 50%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace upStevie Ray's significant-strike pace moved +175% from R2 to R3, 15.4 against 5.6 per minute.
Accuracy shiftStevie Ray's significant-strike accuracy moved +17 pts, 61% against 44%.
Target shiftStevie Ray's head share of landed strikes moved +14 pts, to 92% head with 8% body and 0% leg.
Phase shiftStevie Ray's ground share of landed strikes moved +17 pts, to 27% on the ground against 56% at distance.
Defensive driftStevie Ray absorbed significant strikes +25% faster than in R2, 3.0 against 2.4 per minute.
Pace upJoe Lauzon's significant-strike pace moved +25% from R2 to R3, 3.0 against 2.4 per minute.
Phase shiftJoe Lauzon's ground share of landed strikes moved -28 pts, to 13% on the ground against 87% at distance.
Defensive driftJoe Lauzon absorbed significant strikes +175% faster than in R2, 15.4 against 5.6 per minute.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Stevie Ray
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Joe Lauzon
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
109Stevie Ray sig. strikes
46Joe Lauzon sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+600%largest pace swing, R1 to R2 (Stevie Ray)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
