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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00
Tim ElliottRound 3Louis Smolka
19 / 31Sig. strikes14 / 37
61%Accuracy38%
23 / 35Total strikes17 / 41
0Knockdowns0
4 / 6Takedowns1 / 1
0Sub. attempts1
2:13Control1:03
3.8Pace / min2.8
68%Control share32%
Tim Elliott
Targethead 68% · body 16% · leg 16%
Phasedistance 53% · clinch 11% · ground 37%
Louis Smolka
Targethead 79% · body 7% · leg 14%
Phasedistance 79% · clinch 0% · ground 21%
Statistical signals
Output edgeTim Elliott landed 19 significant strikes to 14.Control edgeTim Elliott held 133s of control to 63s.Striking edgeTim Elliott struck at 61% accuracy to 38%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace upTim Elliott's significant-strike pace moved +46% from R2 to R3, 3.8 against 2.6 per minute.
Target shiftTim Elliott's head share of landed strikes moved -16 pts, to 68% head with 16% body and 16% leg.
Phase shiftTim Elliott's ground share of landed strikes moved +37 pts, to 37% on the ground against 53% at distance.
Grappling pressureTim Elliott attempted 3 more takedowns than in R2, 6 against 3.
Pace downLouis Smolka's significant-strike pace moved -26% from R2 to R3, 2.8 against 3.8 per minute.
Accuracy shiftLouis Smolka's significant-strike accuracy moved -16 pts, 38% against 54%.
Defensive driftLouis Smolka absorbed significant strikes +46% faster than in R2, 3.8 against 2.6 per minute.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Tim Elliott
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Louis Smolka
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
57Tim Elliott sig. strikes
41Louis Smolka sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+138%largest pace swing, R1 to R2 (Louis Smolka)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
