Referee · Kim WinslowAdalaide Byrd · 27-30Mark Smith · 28-29Glenn Trowbridge · 27-30Source · UFC Stats · round stats archived
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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00
Tim KennedyRound 3Roger Gracie
23 / 41Sig. strikes1 / 11
56%Accuracy9%
37 / 57Total strikes1 / 11
0Knockdowns0
0 / 1Takedowns0 / 2
0Sub. attempts0
1:37Control0:23
4.6Pace / min0.2
81%Control share19%
Tim Kennedy
Targethead 26% · body 9% · leg 65%
Phasedistance 65% · clinch 35% · ground 0%
Roger Gracie
Targethead 100% · body 0% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 0% · clinch 100% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeTim Kennedy landed 23 significant strikes to 1.Control edgeTim Kennedy held 97s of control to 23s.Striking edgeTim Kennedy struck at 56% accuracy to 9%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Accuracy shiftTim Kennedy's significant-strike accuracy moved -16 pts, 56% against 72%.
Target shiftTim Kennedy's head share of landed strikes moved -32 pts, to 26% head with 9% body and 65% leg.
Phase shiftTim Kennedy's ground share of landed strikes moved -42 pts, to 0% on the ground against 65% at distance.
Control swingTim Kennedy's control time moved -130s, 97s against 227s.
Pace downRoger Gracie's significant-strike pace moved -75% from R2 to R3, 0.2 against 0.8 per minute.
Accuracy shiftRoger Gracie's significant-strike accuracy moved -41 pts, 9% against 50%.
Target shiftRoger Gracie's head share of landed strikes moved +25 pts, to 100% head with 0% body and 0% leg.
Grappling pressureRoger Gracie attempted 2 more takedowns than in R2, 2 against 0.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Tim Kennedy
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Roger Gracie
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
54Tim Kennedy sig. strikes
12Roger Gracie sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+420%largest pace swing, R1 to R2 (Tim Kennedy)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
