The market provider is not connected in this environment. No prices are estimated in its absence.
Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00
TJ DillashawRound 3Walel Watson
16 / 26Sig. strikes9 / 24
62%Accuracy38%
16 / 27Total strikes15 / 30
0Knockdowns0
1 / 3Takedowns0 / 0
1Sub. attempts1
3:01Control0:00
3.2Pace / min1.8
100%Control share0%
TJ Dillashaw
Targethead 69% · body 13% · leg 19%
Phasedistance 38% · clinch 0% · ground 63%
Walel Watson
Targethead 89% · body 11% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 67% · clinch 0% · ground 33%
Statistical signals
Output edgeTJ Dillashaw landed 16 significant strikes to 9.Control edgeTJ Dillashaw held 181s of control to 0s.Striking edgeTJ Dillashaw struck at 62% accuracy to 38%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace downTJ Dillashaw's significant-strike pace moved -65% from R2 to R3, 3.2 against 9.2 per minute.
Accuracy shiftTJ Dillashaw's significant-strike accuracy moved -15 pts, 62% against 77%.
Target shiftTJ Dillashaw's head share of landed strikes moved -23 pts, to 69% head with 13% body and 19% leg.
Phase shiftTJ Dillashaw's ground share of landed strikes moved -33 pts, to 63% on the ground against 38% at distance.
Grappling pressureTJ Dillashaw attempted 2 more takedowns than in R2, 3 against 1.
Control swingTJ Dillashaw's control time moved -95s, 181s against 276s.
Defensive driftTJ Dillashaw absorbed significant strikes +350% faster than in R2, 1.8 against 0.4 per minute.
Pace upWalel Watson's significant-strike pace moved +350% from R2 to R3, 1.8 against 0.4 per minute.
Accuracy shiftWalel Watson's significant-strike accuracy moved +13 pts, 38% against 25%.
Phase shiftWalel Watson's ground share of landed strikes moved -17 pts, to 33% on the ground against 67% at distance.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
TJ Dillashaw
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Walel Watson
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
85TJ Dillashaw sig. strikes
11Walel Watson sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+350%largest pace swing, R2 to R3 (Walel Watson)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
