Referee · Jon SchorleCecil Peoples · 27-30Chris Lee · 27-30Chet Robbins · 27-30Source · UFC Stats · round stats archived
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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00
TJ WaldburgerRound 3David Mitchell
18 / 29Sig. strikes4 / 4
62%Accuracy100%
35 / 51Total strikes20 / 22
0Knockdowns0
2 / 2Takedowns0 / 0
1Sub. attempts1
4:50Control0:00
3.6Pace / min0.8
100%Control share0%
TJ Waldburger
Targethead 89% · body 0% · leg 11%
Phasedistance 6% · clinch 6% · ground 89%
David Mitchell
Targethead 75% · body 25% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 25% · clinch 25% · ground 50%
Statistical signals
Output edgeTJ Waldburger landed 18 significant strikes to 4.Control edgeTJ Waldburger held 290s of control to 0s.Striking edgeDavid Mitchell struck at 100% accuracy to 62%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace upTJ Waldburger's significant-strike pace moved +260% from R2 to R3, 3.6 against 1.0 per minute.
Control swingTJ Waldburger's control time moved +124s, 290s against 166s.
Pace downDavid Mitchell's significant-strike pace moved -20% from R2 to R3, 0.8 against 1.0 per minute.
Accuracy shiftDavid Mitchell's significant-strike accuracy moved +29 pts, 100% against 71%.
Phase shiftDavid Mitchell's ground share of landed strikes moved -30 pts, to 50% on the ground against 25% at distance.
Control swingDavid Mitchell's control time moved -62s, 0s against 62s.
Defensive driftDavid Mitchell absorbed significant strikes +260% faster than in R2, 3.6 against 1.0 per minute.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
TJ Waldburger
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
David Mitchell
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
37TJ Waldburger sig. strikes
13David Mitchell sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+260%largest pace swing, R2 to R3 (TJ Waldburger)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
