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- UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier
- Tony Kelley vs Randy Costa
Bantamweight · 3 rounds · Card
FinalUFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier
Saturday, December 11, 2021 · Las Vegas · Nevada
Full card →Result
Tony Kelley def. Randy Costa
KO/TKO (Elbows to Head From Half Guard) · Round 2 · 4:15 · 3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Referee · Mark SmithSource · UFC Stats · round stats archived
Market
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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
KO/TKO · R2 · 4:15
Tony KelleyRound 2Randy Costa
47 / 79Sig. strikes15 / 28
59%Accuracy54%
79 / 113Total strikes15 / 28
0Knockdowns0
0 / 0Takedowns0 / 1
0Sub. attempts0
1:43Control1:01
11.1Pace / min3.5
63%Control share37%
Tony Kelley
Targethead 43% · body 43% · leg 15%
Phasedistance 21% · clinch 30% · ground 49%
Randy Costa
Targethead 80% · body 20% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 73% · clinch 27% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeTony Kelley landed 47 significant strikes to 15.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R1
- Pace upTony Kelley's significant-strike pace moved +58% from R1 to R2, 11.1 against 7.0 per minute.
- Accuracy shiftTony Kelley's significant-strike accuracy moved +21 pts, 59% against 39%.
- Target shiftTony Kelley's head share of landed strikes moved +25 pts, to 43% head with 43% body and 15% leg.
- Phase shiftTony Kelley's ground share of landed strikes moved +49 pts, to 49% on the ground against 21% at distance.
- Accuracy shiftRandy Costa's significant-strike accuracy moved +10 pts, 54% against 43%.
- Target shiftRandy Costa's head share of landed strikes moved +30 pts, to 80% head with 20% body and 0% leg.
- Defensive driftRandy Costa absorbed significant strikes +58% faster than in R1, 11.1 against 7.0 per minute.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Tony Kelley
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Randy Costa
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
82Tony Kelley sig. strikes
31Randy Costa sig. strikes
2rounds observed
+58%largest pace swing, R1 to R2 (Tony Kelley)
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
Fight stats 2 rounds · UFC Stats
82 / 169Sig. strikes31 / 65
49%Accuracy48%
129 / 218Total strikes32 / 66
0Knockdowns0
0 / 0Takedowns0 / 1
0Sub attempts0
3:26Control2:29
26Head20
43Body11
13Leg0
Tony KelleyRandy Costa
| Round | Fighter | KD | Sig. str. | Total | TD | Sub | Ctrl | Head | Body | Leg |
|---|
| R1 |
Tale of the tape
8-3-0Record6-4-0
34Age27
5'9"Height5'9"
70"Reach73"
SwitchStanceSwitch
5.55Sig. str./min6.53
0.00TD / 15 min0.00
Tony Kelley1-2 in archive
0KO/TKO wins
0Sub wins
0%Finish rate