Referee · Mark SmithSal D'amato · 27-30Chris Leben · 27-30Jacob Montalvo · 27-30Source · UFC Stats · round stats archived
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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00
Trey OgdenRound 3Kurt Holobaugh
8 / 14Sig. strikes4 / 12
57%Accuracy33%
82 / 107Total strikes47 / 63
0Knockdowns0
1 / 1Takedowns0 / 0
0Sub. attempts0
4:05Control0:00
1.6Pace / min0.8
100%Control share0%
Trey Ogden
Targethead 75% · body 0% · leg 25%
Phasedistance 100% · clinch 0% · ground 0%
Kurt Holobaugh
Targethead 75% · body 0% · leg 25%
Phasedistance 100% · clinch 0% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeTrey Ogden landed 8 significant strikes to 4.Control edgeTrey Ogden held 245s of control to 0s.Striking edgeTrey Ogden struck at 57% accuracy to 33%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace downTrey Ogden's significant-strike pace moved -69% from R2 to R3, 1.6 against 5.2 per minute.
Target shiftTrey Ogden's head share of landed strikes moved +17 pts, to 75% head with 0% body and 25% leg.
Phase shiftTrey Ogden's ground share of landed strikes moved -19 pts, to 0% on the ground against 100% at distance.
Control swingTrey Ogden's control time moved +73s, 245s against 172s.
Pace downKurt Holobaugh's significant-strike pace moved -80% from R2 to R3, 0.8 against 4.0 per minute.
Accuracy shiftKurt Holobaugh's significant-strike accuracy moved -14 pts, 33% against 48%.
Target shiftKurt Holobaugh's head share of landed strikes moved +50 pts, to 75% head with 0% body and 25% leg.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Trey Ogden
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Kurt Holobaugh
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
35Trey Ogden sig. strikes
29Kurt Holobaugh sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+2500%largest pace swing, R1 to R2 (Trey Ogden)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
