Referee · Herb DeanCecil Peoples · 28-29Dave Stone · 29-28Otto Torriero · 28-29Source · UFC Stats · round stats archived
Market
Market data not configured
The market provider is not connected in this environment. No prices are estimated in its absence.
Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Split Decision · R3 · 5:00
Waylon LoweRound 3Steve Lopez
12 / 23Sig. strikes4 / 14
52%Accuracy29%
34 / 51Total strikes8 / 18
0Knockdowns0
2 / 2Takedowns0 / 0
0Sub. attempts0
3:30Control0:00
2.4Pace / min0.8
100%Control share0%
Waylon Lowe
Targethead 100% · body 0% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 42% · clinch 0% · ground 58%
Steve Lopez
Targethead 25% · body 75% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 100% · clinch 0% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeWaylon Lowe landed 12 significant strikes to 4.Control edgeWaylon Lowe held 210s of control to 0s.Striking edgeWaylon Lowe struck at 52% accuracy to 29%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace upWaylon Lowe's significant-strike pace moved +33% from R2 to R3, 2.4 against 1.8 per minute.
Accuracy shiftWaylon Lowe's significant-strike accuracy moved +18 pts, 52% against 35%.
Phase shiftWaylon Lowe's ground share of landed strikes moved +36 pts, to 58% on the ground against 42% at distance.
Control swingWaylon Lowe's control time moved +99s, 210s against 111s.
Pace downSteve Lopez's significant-strike pace moved -43% from R2 to R3, 0.8 against 1.4 per minute.
Target shiftSteve Lopez's head share of landed strikes moved -18 pts, to 25% head with 75% body and 0% leg.
Phase shiftSteve Lopez's ground share of landed strikes moved -14 pts, to 0% on the ground against 100% at distance.
Defensive driftSteve Lopez absorbed significant strikes +33% faster than in R2, 2.4 against 1.8 per minute.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Waylon Lowe
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Steve Lopez
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
26Waylon Lowe sig. strikes
23Steve Lopez sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+80%largest pace swing, R1 to R2 (Waylon Lowe)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
