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- Julian Erosa's finishing rate is the number that matters against JeongYeong Lee
Julian Erosa's finishing rate is the number that matters against JeongYeong Lee
Does the finishing pattern in our archive make this a fight that ends early? Tale of the tape, form and the distance question for Julian Erosa vs. JeongYeong Lee at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan on Oct 31, 2026.
- LLerryan DouglasKO/TKO R1 · Mar 26
- LMelquizael CostaU-DEC R3 · May 25
- WDarren ElkinsKO/TKO R1 · Apr 25
- W
The setup
Julian Erosa (31-14-0) and JeongYeong Lee (11-3-0) meet at featherweight on the prelims when UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan arrives at Meta APEX in Las Vegas on Saturday, October 31, 2026, scheduled for three rounds.
Our schedule tables list 11 bouts on the card; this one is filed under the prelims. The bout is listed as announced in the PropBetEdge schedule.
The question this preview works through is whether the finishing pattern in our archive makes this a fight that ends early, and what that does to the distance and method markets. Career-to-date round statistics are on file for both fighters.
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Tale of the tape
- Record: Julian Erosa 31-14-0 · JeongYeong Lee 11-3-0
- Age: Julian Erosa 37 · JeongYeong Lee 30
- Height: Julian Erosa 6'1" · JeongYeong Lee 5'10"
- Reach: Julian Erosa 74.5" · JeongYeong Lee 73"
- Stance: Julian Erosa Southpaw · JeongYeong Lee Orthodox
- Listed weight: Julian Erosa 145 lbs · JeongYeong Lee 145 lbs
Reach is close to even (74.5" to 73"), so neither fighter starts with a length edge and the striking exchanges begin from the same distance. JeongYeong Lee is the younger by 7 years (30 to 37). Age on its own tells you little at this level; it reads better alongside the layoff figures in the form section. It is an southpaw-versus-orthodox pairing: lead legs line up on the outside, which rewards the rear straight and the rear kick and makes the calf-kick battle a live one.
Recent form
Our archive has 19 completed UFC bouts for Julian Erosa, 10 wins and 9 losses. 7 of those wins came inside the distance (3 by KO/TKO and 4 by submission), a 70% finish rate on archived wins. He has been finished 7 times in the archive. Most recently he lost to Lerryan Douglas by KO/TKO in round 1 on Mar 28, 2026. That puts him 217 days out by fight night.
- L vs Lerryan Douglas — KO/TKO, R1 (Mar 28, 2026, UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer)
- L vs Melquizael Costa — unanimous decision, R3 (May 17, 2025, UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales)
- W vs Darren Elkins — KO/TKO, R1 (Apr 12, 2025, UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes)
- W vs Christian Rodriguez — submission, R1 (Jul 13, 2024, UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez)
- W vs Ricardo Ramos — submission, R1 (Mar 23, 2024, UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas)
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