Mateusz Gamrot’s Third Rear-Naked Choke Loss Puts a Specific Risk on the Betting Checklist

Mateusz Gamrot’s latest setback happened away from the UFC, but the mechanism carries directly into how bettors should evaluate his next fight.

Bloody Elbow reported that Elijah Dorsey submitted Gamrot by rear-naked choke in the opening round of the 2026 ADCC World Championships, taking his back after Gamrot attacked a leg; the result marked Gamrot’s third loss by the same technique within a year, following UFC defeats to Charles Oliveira and Quillan Salkilld.

The recurrence is the news. The context is equally important. Gamrot remains one of the UFC lightweight division’s most active takedown wrestlers, and one grappling-tournament loss should not be treated as proof that his entire defensive game has collapsed. But three recent defeats ending through back control and a rear-naked choke create a specific tactical concern rather than a vague allegation that his grappling has declined.

There is no linked UFC booking or available market for Gamrot, so this result does not produce an immediate wager. It does change the checklist for his next matchup.

Gamrot’s wrestling still drives his UFC game

Gamrot averages 5.08 takedowns per 15 minutes, landing them at 38 percent accuracy while defending 76 percent of the attempts against him. Across 14 archived UFC bouts and 35 rounds, he has completed 54 takedowns and accumulated 51 minutes of control.

Those numbers describe a repeat-entry wrestler, not someone dependent on converting his first shot. The 38 percent accuracy is workable because of the volume and persistence behind it. He can chain attempts, force prolonged transitions and turn otherwise competitive striking rounds into control rounds.