Grappling: 2 takedowns / 15 vs 50% defense
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The stored numbers are close enough that this is a fight about execution and adjustments rather than one obvious mismatch.
The stored career numbers do not draw a sharp contrast between these two, which usually means the fight is decided by adjustments rather than a single dominant phase.
Supporting evidencePace: 4.1 vs 3.2 landed / min
| Attribute | Nascimento | Paiva |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 26 | 22 |
| Height | 5′8″ | 5′8″ |
| Reach | 69.5″ | 69″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
3.2 and 4.1 significant strikes per minute: similar output, so accuracy (51% vs 42%) decides the exchanges.
Read the first two minutes for who is willing to lead and who is countering; the stored numbers do not flag a lopsided early-round finisher.
With the stored numbers close, the middle rounds come down to adjustments: who solves the opening read first, with strike defense at 53% and 48%.
Three rounds only: a slow first round is expensive, and round three is often fought by whoever has the gas tank and the lead on the cards.
