Grappling: 3.4 takedowns / 15
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The stored numbers are close enough that this is a fight about execution and adjustments rather than one obvious mismatch.
Rongzhu's output (6 per minute) against Haraguchi's lower volume: pace versus precision.
Supporting evidenceDistance: 3-inch reach difference
| Attribute | Rongzhu | Haraguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 23 | 25 |
| Height | 5′9″ | 5′5″ |
| Reach | 71″ | 68″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Switch |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Rongzhu holds a 3-inch reach edge (71" to 68"); Haraguchi has to cross distance to land, and opposite stances open the lead-side lane.
Favors RongzhuRongzhu has finished 67% of archived wins (2 KO/TKO, 0 submission).
Favors RongzhuRongzhu has been finished 1 time in the archive and absorbs 5.4 strikes per minute.
Favors HaraguchiWho sets the range in round one: Rongzhu holds the longer reach, so early success for the shorter fighter usually requires feints and fast entries.
With the stored numbers close, the middle rounds come down to adjustments: who solves the opening read first.
Three rounds only: a slow first round is expensive, and round three is often fought by whoever has the gas tank and the lead on the cards.
The stored numbers are close enough that this is a fight about execution and adjustments rather than one obvious mismatch.
Get premium picks, deeper matchup reads, and full fight-week tools.
ALL ACCESS$29/month10 sports + Predictions →Go Pro