Distance: 6-inch reach difference
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The stored numbers are close enough that this is a fight about execution and adjustments rather than one obvious mismatch.
Ellenberger's wrestling (2 takedowns per 15) against Kampmann's striking is the central exchange: Kampmann stops 78% of attempts on record.
Supporting evidenceDanger zone: 2 recent R1 finishes
| Attribute | Kampmann | Ellenberger |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 30 | 27 |
| Height | 6′0″ | 5′9″ |
| Reach | 72″ | 71″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Ellenberger has finished 67% of archived wins (4 KO/TKO, 0 submission), 2 of them inside round one in the last 5.
Favors EllenbergerKampmann has been finished 2 times in the archive and absorbs 3.3 strikes per minute; Ellenberger has never been stopped in the stored record.
Favors EllenbergerEllenberger averages 2 takedowns per 15 minutes; Kampmann has stopped 78% of attempts on record.
Favors KampmannEllenberger has 2 first-round finishes in the last 5 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Ellenberger keeps landing takedowns at 2 per 15 minutes; if Kampmann stays upright, the striking rates (3.2 vs 2.5 landed per minute) take over.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
