Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a volume gap (4.5 vs 2.7 strikes per minute); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
McCray's wrestling (2.9 takedowns per 15) against McGee's striking is the central exchange: McGee stops 70% of attempts on record.
Supporting evidencePace: 4.5 vs 2.7 landed / min
| Attribute | McGee | McCray |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 25 | 28 |
| Height | 5′11″ | 6′0″ |
| Reach | 75″ | 76″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
McGee lands 4.5 significant strikes per minute to McCray’s 2.7: a real volume gap.
Favors McGeeMcCray averages 2.9 takedowns per 15 minutes; McGee has stopped 70% of attempts on record.
Favors McGeeWatch the first takedown attempt from McCray: whether it lands, and how expensive it looks, tells you the shape of the fight.
Rounds two and three turn on whether McCray keeps landing takedowns at 2.9 per 15 minutes; if McGee stays upright, the striking rates (4.5 vs 2.7 landed per minute) take over.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.