Pace: 4.3 vs 1.3 landed / min
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a grappling gap (2.2 vs 0.6 takedowns per 15) and a volume gap (2.4 vs 4.2 strikes per minute) and a finishing gap (100% vs 0% of archived wins); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Supporting evidenceDistance: 4-inch reach difference
| Attribute | Florian | Stout |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 30 | 22 |
| Height | 5′10″ | 5′9″ |
| Reach | 74″ | 70″ |
| Stance | Southpaw | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Florian holds a 4-inch reach edge (74" to 70"); Stout has to cross distance to land, and opposite stances open the lead-side lane.
Favors FlorianStout lands 4.2 significant strikes per minute to Florian’s 2.4: a real volume gap.
Favors StoutFlorian averages 2.2 takedowns per 15 minutes; Stout has stopped 77% of attempts on record.
Favors StoutWatch the first takedown attempt from Florian: whether it lands, and how expensive it looks, tells you the shape of the fight.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Florian keeps landing takedowns at 2.2 per 15 minutes; if Stout stays upright, the striking rates (2.4 vs 4.2 landed per minute) take over.
Three rounds only: a slow first round is expensive, and round three is often fought by whoever has the gas tank and the lead on the cards.
