Pace: 1.6 vs 0 landed / min
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a grappling gap (3.9 vs 0 takedowns per 15) and a volume gap (1.9 vs 0 strikes per minute); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Supporting evidenceExperience: 5 vs 1 five-round fights
| Attribute | Coleman | Severn |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 32 | 38 |
| Height | 6′1″ | 6′2″ |
| Reach | 75″ | Not published |
| Stance | Orthodox | Southpaw |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Severn has 5 archived five-round fights to Coleman’s 1; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors SevernColeman averages 3.9 takedowns per 15 minutes; Severn has stopped 0% of attempts on record.
Favors ColemanColeman lands 1.9 significant strikes per minute to Severn’s 0: a real volume gap.
Favors ColemanColeman has 5 first-round finishes in the last 5 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Coleman keeps landing takedowns at 3.9 per 15 minutes; if Severn stays upright, the striking rates (1.9 vs 0 landed per minute) take over.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.