Distance: 3-inch reach difference
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The stored numbers are close enough that this is a fight about execution and adjustments rather than one obvious mismatch.
Opposite stances create an open-side geometry from the first exchange — lead-foot position and the rear-hand lane matter more than usual.
Supporting evidenceDanger zone: 3 recent R1 finishes
| Attribute | Okami | Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 29 | 31 |
| Height | 6′2″ | 6′0″ |
| Reach | 75″ | 74″ |
| Stance | Southpaw | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Marquardt has finished 67% of archived wins (4 KO/TKO, 2 submission), 3 of them inside round one in the last 5.
Favors MarquardtOkami averages 2 takedowns per 15 minutes; Marquardt has stopped 70% of attempts on record.
Favors Marquardt2.1 and 2.7 significant strikes per minute: similar output, so accuracy (38% vs 49%) decides the exchanges.
Marquardt has 3 first-round finishes in the last 5 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
With the stored numbers close, the middle rounds come down to adjustments: who solves the opening read first, with strike defense at 60% and 55%.
Three rounds only: a slow first round is expensive, and round three is often fought by whoever has the gas tank and the lead on the cards.
