Pace: 6.4 vs 2.9 landed / min
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a grappling gap (0.3 vs 2 takedowns per 15) and a volume gap (4.5 vs 2.2 strikes per minute); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Supporting evidenceDurability: Mir finished 5× on record
| Attribute | Santos | Mir |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 28 | 33 |
| Height | 6′4″ | 6′3″ |
| Reach | 77″ | 79″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Southpaw |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Mir has been finished 5 times in the archive and absorbs 3.8 strikes per minute; Santos has never been stopped in the stored record.
Favors SantosMir has 4 archived five-round fights to Santos’ 1; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors MirSantos lands 4.5 significant strikes per minute to Mir’s 2.2: a real volume gap.
Favors SantosSantos has 3 first-round finishes in the last 5 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Mir keeps landing takedowns at 2 per 15 minutes; if Santos stays upright, the striking rates (4.5 vs 2.2 landed per minute) take over.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
