Grappling: 3.9 takedowns / 15 vs 16% defense
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a volume gap (4.8 vs 1.2 strikes per minute); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Supporting evidencePace: 4.8 vs 1.2 landed / min
| Attribute | Shamrock | Horn |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 25 | 22 |
| Height | 5′10″ | 6′1″ |
| Reach | Not published | 74″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Shamrock lands 4.8 significant strikes per minute to Horn’s 1.2: a real volume gap.
Favors ShamrockShamrock has 2 archived five-round fights to Horn’s 0; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors ShamrockHorn averages 1.8 takedowns per 15 minutes; Shamrock has stopped 37% of attempts on record.
Favors ShamrockShamrock has 2 first-round finishes in the last 2 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
The middle rounds belong to whoever sets the pace: Shamrock averages 4.8 landed per minute to Horn at 1.2, so Horn needs the counters to land clean (39% accuracy on record).
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
