Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The stored numbers are close enough that this is a fight about execution and adjustments rather than one obvious mismatch.
Teixeira's wrestling (2.1 takedowns per 15) against Jones's striking is the central exchange: Jones stops 95% of attempts on record.
Supporting evidenceExperience: 7 vs 1 five-round fights
| Attribute | Jones | Teixeira |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 26 | 34 |
| Height | 6′4″ | 6′2″ |
| Reach | 84″ | 76″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Jones has 7 archived five-round fights to Teixeira’s 1; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors JonesJones holds a 8-inch reach edge (84" to 76"); Teixeira has to cross distance to land.
Favors JonesTeixeira has finished 80% of archived wins (2 KO/TKO, 2 submission), 3 of them inside round one in the last 5.
Favors TeixeiraTeixeira has 3 first-round finishes in the last 5 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Teixeira keeps landing takedowns at 2.1 per 15 minutes; if Jones stays upright, the striking rates (4.4 vs 3.7 landed per minute) take over.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.