Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The stored numbers are close enough that this is a fight about execution and adjustments rather than one obvious mismatch.
The stored career numbers do not draw a sharp contrast between these two, which usually means the fight is decided by adjustments rather than a single dominant phase.
Supporting evidenceDistance: 5-inch reach difference
| Attribute | Werdum | Hunt |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 37 | 40 |
| Height | 6′4″ | 5′10″ |
| Reach | 77″ | 72″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Werdum holds a 5-inch reach edge (77" to 72"); Hunt has to cross distance to land.
Favors WerdumHunt has been finished 2 times in the archive and absorbs 2.9 strikes per minute.
Favors WerdumWerdum averages 1.8 takedowns per 15 minutes; Hunt has stopped 64% of attempts on record.
Favors HuntWho sets the range in round one: Werdum holds the longer reach, so early success for the shorter fighter usually requires feints and fast entries.
With the stored numbers close, the middle rounds come down to adjustments: who solves the opening read first, with strike defense at 55% and 51%.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.