Durability: Bader finished 4× on record
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The stored numbers are close enough that this is a fight about execution and adjustments rather than one obvious mismatch.
The stored career numbers do not draw a sharp contrast between these two, which usually means the fight is decided by adjustments rather than a single dominant phase.
Supporting evidenceDistance: 7-inch reach difference
| Attribute | Cormier | Gustafsson |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 36 | 28 |
| Height | 5′11″ | 6′5″ |
| Reach | 72″ | 79″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Gustafsson holds a 7-inch reach edge (79" to 72"); Cormier has to cross distance to land.
Favors GustafssonGustafsson has been finished 2 times in the archive and absorbs 3.5 strikes per minute; Cormier has never been stopped in the stored record.
Favors CormierGustafsson has 3 archived five-round fights to Cormier’s 2; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors GustafssonWho sets the range in round one: Gustafsson holds the longer reach, so early success for the shorter fighter usually requires feints and fast entries.
With the stored numbers close, the middle rounds come down to adjustments: who solves the opening read first, with strike defense at 54% and 51%.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
