Pace: 6.3 vs 4.5 landed / min
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a grappling gap (0.9 vs 6.3 takedowns per 15) and a finishing gap (0% vs 100% of archived wins); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Supporting evidenceExperience: 6 vs 0 five-round fights
| Attribute | Holm | Rousey |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 34 | 28 |
| Height | 5′8″ | 5′7″ |
| Reach | 69″ | 66″ |
| Stance | Southpaw | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Rousey has 6 archived five-round fights to Holm’s 0; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors RouseyRousey averages 6.3 takedowns per 15 minutes; Holm has stopped 76% of attempts on record.
Favors HolmHolm holds a 3-inch reach edge (69" to 66"); Rousey has to cross distance to land, and opposite stances open the lead-side lane.
Favors HolmRousey has 4 first-round finishes in the last 5 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Rousey keeps landing takedowns at 6.3 per 15 minutes; if Holm stays upright, the striking rates (3.1 vs 4.2 landed per minute) take over.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
