Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a grappling gap (0 vs 2 takedowns per 15) and a volume gap (5.6 vs 1.3 strikes per minute) and a finishing gap (100% vs 0% of archived wins); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Supporting evidencePace: 5.6 vs 1.3 landed / min
| Attribute | Rutten | Randleman |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 34 | 27 |
| Height | 6′1″ | 5′10″ |
| Reach | Not published | Not published |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Rutten lands 5.6 significant strikes per minute to Randleman’s 1.3: a real volume gap.
Favors RuttenRandleman averages 2 takedowns per 15 minutes; Rutten has stopped 0% of attempts on record.
Favors RandlemanWatch the first takedown attempt from Randleman: whether it lands, and how expensive it looks, tells you the shape of the fight.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Randleman keeps landing takedowns at 2 per 15 minutes; if Rutten stays upright, the striking rates (5.6 vs 1.3 landed per minute) take over.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.