Pace: 1.8 vs 0 landed / min
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a finishing gap (50% vs 100% of archived wins); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
The stored career numbers do not draw a sharp contrast between these two, which usually means the fight is decided by adjustments rather than a single dominant phase.
Supporting evidenceDanger zone: 4 recent R1 finishes
| Attribute | Smith | Ruas |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 37 | 38 |
| Height | 6′2″ | 6′1″ |
| Reach | Not published | Not published |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Ruas has finished 100% of archived wins (1 KO/TKO, 3 submission), 4 of them inside round one in the last 5.
Favors Ruas0.4 and 0 significant strikes per minute: similar output, so accuracy (46% vs 0%) decides the exchanges.
Neither fighter has been finished in the stored record (4 and 5 archived bouts), so a stoppage would be a first.
Ruas has 4 first-round finishes in the last 5 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
With the stored numbers close, the middle rounds come down to adjustments: who solves the opening read first, with strike defense at 60% and 0%.
Three rounds only: a slow first round is expensive, and round three is often fought by whoever has the gas tank and the lead on the cards.
