Danger zone: 2 recent R1 finishes
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a finishing gap (0% vs 100% of archived wins); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Randleman's wrestling (2 takedowns per 15) against Williams's striking is the central exchange: Williams stops 16% of attempts on record.
Supporting evidenceDanger zone: 2 recent R1 finishes
| Attribute | Randleman | Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 28 | 24 |
| Height | 5′10″ | 6′3″ |
| Reach | Not published | Not published |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Williams has finished 100% of archived wins (1 KO/TKO, 2 submission), 2 of them inside round one in the last 4.
Favors WilliamsRandleman averages 2 takedowns per 15 minutes; Williams has stopped 16% of attempts on record.
Favors Williams1.3 and 0.6 significant strikes per minute: similar output, so accuracy (54% vs 62%) decides the exchanges.
Williams has 2 first-round finishes in the last 4 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Randleman keeps landing takedowns at 2 per 15 minutes; if Williams stays upright, the striking rates (1.3 vs 0.6 landed per minute) take over.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
