Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.


The evidence points to a volume gap (6.4 vs 3.5 strikes per minute); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Andrade's wrestling (2.1 takedowns per 15) against Namajunas's striking is the central exchange: Namajunas stops 62% of attempts on record.
Supporting evidencePace: 6.4 vs 3.5 landed / min
| Attribute | Andrade | Namajunas |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 27 | 26 |
| Height | 5′1″ | 5′5″ |
| Reach | 62″ | 65″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | #10 Women's Strawweight | #13 Women's Pound-for-Pound |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Andrade lands 6.4 significant strikes per minute to Namajunas’ 3.5: a real volume gap.
Favors AndradeNamajunas has 4 archived five-round fights to Andrade’s 1; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors NamajunasAndrade has been finished 3 times in the archive and absorbs 5.6 strikes per minute.
Favors NamajunasWatch the first takedown attempt from Andrade: whether it lands, and how expensive it looks, tells you the shape of the fight.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Andrade keeps landing takedowns at 2.1 per 15 minutes; if Namajunas stays upright, the striking rates (6.4 vs 3.5 landed per minute) take over.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.